ksnip 20250127 070912

Efficacious Agrarian Affirmation #12.

Here is a concrete example. British fighter pilots in WW2 reported that the German fighter pilots had developed a new tactic: attacking from “out of the sun”.

The idea makes sense. If you can fly towards an enemy pilot from the same direction the sun is shining, he will have much more trouble seeing you since the sun is in his eyes.

The RAF started to develop tactics to train their pilots how to cope with this type of attack.

There was only one problem. The Germans did indeed have a new tactic, but attacking out of the sun wasn’t it. Instead, they trained their pilots to approach from the rear, where the enemy pilot can’t see at all. This tactic was so successful that most British pilots were killed when it was used.

As a result, those dead pilots never made it back to tell their anecdotes. Attacking out of the sun was much less effective, so many pilots survived to tell theirs.

Collecting only anecdotal evidence (which was very compelling) caused the Brits to completely fail to see the actual German tactics. This is known as reporting bias. Bias is (as in this example) common in anecdotes and hard to identify convincingly. That’s where science steps in, using techniques designed to reduce or eliminate bias.

Anecdotal accounts can sometimes be helpful. For example, one black swan is all you need to see to disprove the statement “all swans are white”. (This is a famous example). But having seen a black swan, we naturally but wrongly then conclude that swans are mostly white but some are black.

In fact, knowing that not all swans are white doesn’t tell us much more. There may be green swans. Or pink ones. We just don’t know.

At this point, we need a scientific study of swans, to find as many as possible, count them, and identify which colours they are. Then we can say what the proportions of white, black, green and pink swans are.

The Spy Lounge DRIVE, After Midnight | 1960s Spy Jazz for Night Driving, Relaxation & Night Focus

Winter Cheese Board with German Beer Cheese Fondue

 

 

Winter Cheese Board with German Beer Cheese Fondue - Celebrate the season with this big, beautiful platter of cheese, charcuterie, bread, seasonal fruits and sweet treats. | foxeslovelemons.com

So lately, it’s become apparent that expanding my list of charcuterie ideas is something of a hobby / passion project for me.

If I have a week where I don’t have much client work going on, my grocery cart is subconsciously navigated to the cheese counter of my store.

Before I know it, I’m brainstorming a breakfast board or smoked salmon board, or even a charcuterie chalet.

They’re so much fun to put together, they’re beautiful to photograph, and let’s face it: eating a big ol’ platter of cheese and goodies for dinner isn’t the worst thing.

So today, we’ve got a Winter Cheese Board with German Beer Cheese Fondue to talk about. Here’s what we have going on:

 

  • German Beer Cheese Fondue (recipe below, and also so good as part of a football themed charcuterie board)
  • Blue cheese – I used Bleu d’Auvergne, which is a French blue cheese for those who love a good funky cheese. Buy a big hunk and use some to make blue cheese mashed potatoes next week!
  • Mild cow’s milk cheese – I used Jarlsberg, which is a Norwegian cheese, with holes much like classic Swiss cheese (so it’s also great in corned beef egg rolls).
  • Random, interesting cheese – I used Red Dragon, which is an English cheddar made with Welsh brown ale and mustard seeds
  • Fresh seasonal fruit, like clementines, persimmons, pomegranates and grapes or roasted grapes.
  • Dried fruit, like cranberries and citrus slices
  • Charcuterie, like prosciutto and sliced hard salami or sopressata
  • Nuts, like pistachios or cashews
  • Honeycomb or honey
  • Crackers and bread
  • Dark chocolate and peanut brittle, because why the heck not?
Winter Cheese Board with German Beer Cheese Fondue - Celebrate the season with this big, beautiful platter of cheese, charcuterie, bread, seasonal fruits and sweet treats. | foxeslovelemons.com

German Beer Cheese Fondue

Every charcuterie spread needs a good dip. This is perfect for game day or just any day!

Ingredients

  • 4 ounces Colby Jack cheese grated
  • 4 ounces Muenster cheese grated
  • 1 tablespoon cornstarch
  • 1 small garlic clove minced
  • ½ cup German beer such as Weihenstephaner
  • ½ teaspoon kosher salt
  • ¼ teaspoon freshly ground black pepper

Instructions

  • Place cheeses and cornstarch in large zip-top bag and shake to combine.
  • In small saucepan, heat garlic and beer to a bare simmer over medium-low heat. Add the cheese mixture, a small handful at a time, stirring constantly, until all cheese is incorporated and mixture is smooth. Season with salt and pepper, and serve immediately.

You haven’t aged a day!

Written in response to: Set your story in a world where conversation about one particular topic is banned — but there are ways to get around the rule.

Daniel P

Asher let out a familiar sigh, admitting she was cutting it close enough. The last 20 minutes in bed had been a routine escape, indulging in memories of what life used to mean for her. It was soothing yet artificial. This morning’s escape was a simple but effective one, an early morning walk with her dog Norman. The fact that she sometimes treated that as a trivial errand brought up tight feelings of painful regret. What she would give for this simple pleasure that was now a world away…literally.It’s not that she cared about running late for the ‘Morning Objectives’ meeting, those had become miserably transparent months ago. What innovative smoke and mirrors will it be today? she thought. Muffled conversations hurried past outside as she pulled herself up to get dressed. Her uniform was faded and creased with stress, the once shiny emblem of the Chronos crew – a slim hourglass turned on its side to imitate the infinity symbol – was now dull and barely holding onto the forest green fabric.The outside conversations became overwhelmed by the synchronized grumbling of the numerous speakers scattered about her quarters: “Morning Objectives!” “Our Work Continues!” Asher moved to face her bathroom mirror, finding it amusing how inaudible the crackling intercom messages were recently. Even the ship’s basic infrastructure was crumbling! She chuckled to herself, said “Well either that or I’m getting ol…” Silence now assaulted her quarters, sending fear surging through her spine and taking hold. It’d been months since her last slip up.She reflected on how different it had been in those weeks fresh out the freezers. Freezers being the eternity pods all trialists had signed up to being locked away in. Just 1 week after leaving earth they were briefed before it all began. “You 20 brave gladiators have chosen to stare death in the face…and laugh!” one admin had said as they were guided like cattle to their pods. She continued excitedly “We will turn our backs on father time”.Asher recalled how she had approached her pod, as if it would bite. It was oval and crystal clear. It let off a deep menacing hum and was filled with a transparent sludge, it was silver tinged and shimmered deceptively. “Why are the coffins transparent?” Asher shouted, not taking her eyes off the flashing screen at the base of the pod. The admin fired a cold look towards her “#13! As we have told you already, the pods are transparent so that we can safely monitor you all with the utmost clarity” she spoke confidently above a layer of fanaticism. The matriarchal admin composed herself, with a smug smile she added “Remember?”.Her awareness returned to her defeated reflection. She accepted it may already be too late, that she’d be swept away by a blurring wave of admins any second. Rushed to the shadows within the lower decks where they processed violators. Still she gathered herself and said flatly “Cold…I’m getting cold, maybe seasonal flu”. Seconds passed before the speakers around her begrudgingly resumed their commands at full volume “Final Call For Objectives!”. Asher managed a defeated smile, she was tickled by the idea of the administrators buying that she, in space, was coming down with a seasonal flu.But she felt confident they gave no regard for logic anymore, nothing other than that one looming topic. Asher had come to the conclusion weeks back with the help of #5 – Jayce, that the admins were struggling to maintain the intercom system. As a result any attempts to gather information and punish those heard to be denying the truth of the Chronos mission was hindered. It left them no choice but to shut off all nearby speakers when a potential violation was occurring. 

Asher and Jayce had found this deeply worrying. All the admins ranted about was the truth of the chronos mission, the importance of our work, the greater importance to reprimand those speaking of that which was now “non-existent” as they put it. If their main tool for monitoring this truth of theirs was crumbling… What else within the chronos was?.

 

“Final Call For objec..Final Call For Objec..Final Call For Objec” the speaker blurted out in a panic. The question deserved more thought but would have to wait. Asher leaned in for one final examination of her tired self. As she started to turn her head jerked back to the mirror, nervously she reached up to her head.

 

Her action was that of a slow factory line robot, she plucked out a hair with sadly little resistance and held it up. The long silver strand of hair swung side to side like a pendulum. Her theory was right, the Chronos mission was a sham, the admins, frauds. This however provided her no sense of joy. Surely the admins know they’ve failed? She thought. Why keep up the act…unless…they can’t get us home.

 

She carefully placed the hair in her pocket. Turning her back on the reflection she rushed out to the Morning Objectives meeting. The blaring intercom system was now a small white noise to her as she charged down the dull steel corridors of the chronos, one thought dominating her mind, “We’re still aging”.

 

Jayce kept his eyes forward and facial movements minimal as Asher shot down to the seat beside him. Sarcastically whispered  “2 minutes late, you know just because we apparently have all the time in the world now doesn’t excuse bei-”

“Shut up!” she said. Turning a worrying glance to Jayce that said she was apologetic for the harsh response but now was not the time.

“Sorry.. What gives? Are you ok?” The look of deep concern he gave re-assured her of their mutual trust. Above them Administrators had started filing across the wide balcony, almost religiously. The meeting would kick off momentarily.

 

She motioned carefully, as if defusing a bomb in her pocket, revealing to Jayce what they’d long suspected. They were still truly human, time lay ahead of them still, a path with a certain end. How close this end now seemed, that’s what alarmed them.

A young girl noticed something unusual on the beach—something most people didn’t realize the significance of.

In 2004, Tilly Smith was on vacation with her family in Thailand, spending time on Maikhao Beach in Phuket. While others relaxed, she observed the ocean behaving strangely. The water was rapidly pulling away from the shoreline, exposing the sea floor, and the surface looked unusually foamy.

Many people nearby were simply curious, some even moving closer. But Tilly had recently learned about tsunamis in her geography class just weeks earlier. The signs instantly stood out to her.

She remembered that a sudden retreat of the ocean and bubbling water could signal an incoming tsunami, and that there would be very little time to act. Realizing the danger, Tilly urgently warned her parents that they needed to leave the beach immediately.

Her parents trusted her instincts and alerted a security guard, who then helped evacuate everyone on the beach and in the nearby hotel.

Shortly afterward, the tsunami struck as part of the devastating 2004 Indian Ocean disaster that affected multiple countries. While many lives were lost elsewhere, everyone on Maikhao Beach survived—thanks to one child recognizing the warning signs and speaking up.

Later, Tilly’s teacher reflected that he never expected a classroom lesson to make such a real-world difference. But it did.

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The chief designer of Focke Wulf, Kurt Tank, was the first man to achieve a really compact, low drag radial engine installation in a small single seat fighter. When Armin Fabre mistook the Bristol Channel for the English Channel and landed at his Fw 190 at RAF Pembrey the engine installation was of particular interest.

Tank was determined to shoehorn a great big twin row radial into a small airframe. And after a few false starts

ended up with a very compact installation. Note how the exhausts are led to the side outlets to pump air through the cowling.

That fascinated the British aero engine and aircraft designers

Who went away to implement the lessons learned.

So before ( see below) – Sydney Camm’s Hawker ‘Centaurus’ Tornado – not elegant, not compact and with the exhaust collected at the front of the cowling and fed into a single big pipe that does not help with cooling at all.

After (see below)- the Hawker Tempest II – same Bristol Centaurus engine but much tighter cowling, exhaust used to pump cooling air through the cowling and the oil cooler etc set into the wings. Camm was very good at designing aircraft that handled well and you will note that the size of the tailfin has also been increased as part of the steady incremental improvements that Camm was known for.

And then Camm realised that the Tempest was just too big and developed the “Tempest Light Fighter (Centaurus)”, the semi-elliptical wing of the Tempest was incorporated but was shortened in span by eliminating the central bay of the wing centre-section, the inner part of the undercarriage wells now extending almost to the aircraft centreline, instead of being situated level with the fuselage sides. The fuselage was broadly similar in form to that of the Tempest, but was a fully monocoque structure, while the cockpit level was higher, affording the pilot better all-round visibility.

A candidate for the best prop fighter ever.

I would point out that Grumman seem to have learned very similar lessons about engine installations and compactness – but it is not so obvious because they were better designers to start with!

So Hellcat

And Bearcat

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mtness

Omg MM,
You really must be yearning forva ham&cheese Baguette!!

Fwiw, there is a real french bakery in Beijing directly east to the drum Tower.

Best regards, MT

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