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Prepping update. It’s 2020 and you have another three more years before the peak disruption climax.

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This post is an update to my SHTF series of posts.

My last SHTF post was back in October 2019, and before the COVID-19, the NED sponsored pro-democracy attempt at a “color revolution” and the fierce anti-China propaganda onslaught. Back then, it seemed that America was waltzing into a state of intensified confusion.

Now things are much clearer.

The USA is on an out-of-control bobsled heading straight for disaster.

There’s no getting off now.

In previous SHTF posts, I had advised (fellow) Americans that the United States was due to a great reset, and that it would be uncomfortable for many. I also advised that if they were smart, to leave America and go to stable but boring places far away from the “death throes” of a dying empire.

I was correct.

Today, most Americans are trapped within the United States are are unable to leave. For the most part, there are very few nations willing to take in American citizens. The terrible handling of the COVID-19 has make the rest of the world frightened in having anything to do with Americans.

So Americans are trapped. Not only from asking permission to leave America by the American government, but also finding another nation willing to take in Americans. It’s “slim pickings”.

So…

Here you are.

We are in a SHTF situation where you are geographically locked inside a geographic region, while that region experiences all sorts of upheavals and changes. Don’t believe me? Well, take a look at the latest news articles out of the Drudge Report today…

You are trapped inside the United States, the news is about this chaos…

… and that chaos.

It’s all a big nasty mess. From people unemployed because of the COVID-19, to the illness itself. To the BLM and Antifa riots, to food shortages, and armed marches. To Donald Trump going “hog wild” crazy in his anti-China crusade. Seriously, it is nuts.

Yet…

It’s all not happening where you live. Right?

Indeed, in your immediate neighborhood, everything is quiet and calm. Most of the upset is transmitted to you via the Internet, and you have no idea what is true or what is false. Though most of you probably believe in the trends of what you read.

Well…

This is normal.

The Timeline

Let’s take a review of the timeline for the “great reset”.

To review, according to all the measurements that I have mentioned beforehand, everything is pointing to a period of discomfort starting in 2008, and increasing in severity in 2018. Then from 2018 to 2028 will be the worst period of discomfort. With things really starting to get bad around 2020. And a peak crisis period from 2023 to 2027, with the major crisis event centering around 2025.

According to the “Fourth Turning”, we can expect a major critical event to take place around 2025. As shown in the following illustration…

Here are the next few years before the Fourth Turning is expected to reach a crisis point. The astitute reader should realize that the event is scheduled immediately after the 2024 election. Historically, this will mean that a progressive democrat will take over the Presidency. In that event, we can expect a full -on gun conscification effort that would be the result of a mass-shooting event. Democrat presidents always have mass-shooting events int he first six months of their presidency. Then they unlease the anti-gun narrative to a fever pitch. The event that was supposted to really work this last time was the 2016 Los Vegas shooter, but of course it wasn't HIllary Clinton at the Helm it was Donald Trump..
Here are the next few years before the Fourth Turning is expected to reach a crisis point.

Here are my thoughts, and some advice to those of you willing to listen…

Good News

There are some good things that I can say right now.

[1] Firstly, the good news is that change is a natural part of growing. (I know, yada, yada, yada.) But it is true. The United States simply cannot continue as an oligarchy ruled military empire run on imaginary “petrol-dollars”. It has to change. And it will, and you are seeing the start of the changes…

[2] The climax of the event is not this year. That’s the good news.

[3] It will be sometime around 2025 (plus or minus two years). Or as early as 2023, or as late as 2027. That’s in three years at the earliest.

The period of discomfort will last a decade. So expect things to be dicey through 2030.

[4] Here’s more good news. It will not be uniform. There will be areas that will see terrible change, and others what will not see much change at all.

So what will it be like?

Several things will explode all at once…

Several things could implode all at once. Indeed, this is the likeliest scenario. As there are all sorts of trends and events just about to run “off the rails”, and all sort of “the opportunistic others” who have plans to take advantage of government collapse.

It could be a meltdown of government…

It could be a violent readjustment of society…

All the usual “good people” assure us that violent revolution is not on the table. This means, simply, that it is. 

- From Brett Stevens at Amerika

It could be everything and anything. It could be social upheaval in alignment with the Nazi takeover of Germany in the 1930’s, coupled with the genocide of the Cambodians under Pol Pot. It could be a mixture of George Orwell, and the worst elements of THX1138. It could be every nightmare that you could possibly dream of.

'THX 1138' is a chilling look at a 25th-century totalitarian state where mankind is stripped of any individuality. People are numbered drones, and a government-enforced program of sedating drugs controls the populace. The story's title character, THX, is a factory worker whose life is irrevocably changed when he stops taking his mind-numbing drugs.
‘THX 1138’ is a chilling look at a 25th-century totalitarian state where mankind is stripped of any individuality. People are numbered drones, and a government-enforced program of sedating drugs controls the populace. The story’s title character, THX, is a factory worker whose life is irrevocably changed when he stops taking his mind-numbing drugs.

It could be domestic guerrilla warfare…

When the violence comes—and it will come—the military and militarized  police forces will face domestic insurgents who are better armed,  trained, supplied, coordinated, and technologically proficient than the  foreign insurgents the military has heretofore been unable to defeat. 

- From Robert Gore at Straight Line Logic

It could be a polarization of society…

Breitbart - Calif. Police Chief Cancels Event to Honor Fallen Officer  Because Republicans Were Invited ... "this is not Trump country, we  don’t want Republicans here"

It could be genocide against “white people”…

We (white people) are now on the same level with Afrikaners in the closing days of apartheid in South Africa. 

- From Taki at Taki's Magazine, about white Americans

Indeed, all this anti-white propaganda is geared towards genocide. It is not geared to any objective regarding healing. It is an out of control manipulation by the oligarchy to pit Americans against each other.

You cannot purify white people through the healing magic of diversity if they are not actually part of diversity. 

-Z Man

Let’s just clear out all the nonsense and get to the basics…

When Progressives talk about diversity, they mean blacks. 

We can put the  upper bound on diversity as 20%. Any more than that and white crime  victimization and awareness of it begins to soar. This sets off white  flight. 

Baltimore is a great example. Once its black population crossed  the 25% level, it began a rapid decline into chaos.  

As Rhodesia,  Baltimore and now South Africa show, there is some minimum number of  whites required to keep the lights on, so everyone can enjoy the  wonderfulness of diversity. 

In the case of Rhodesia, the number fell  below the minimum and it became Zimbabwe. In Baltimore, they have  hovered along the critical number for decades. South Africa staggers on,  but they too are approaching the inflection point. 

-Z Man

Someone, or some group, is organizing a campaign leading towards the genocide of “white people”. This will absolutely manifest during the crisis period. Look, just because the mainstream media isn’t covering the obvious does not mean that that it doesn’t exist.

 Fighting Is Under Way

 And leftist blood-lust is not limited to a fringe. A very intelligent  and gentle acquaintance of mine, someone with whom I once enjoyed a  cordial and friendly long-running debate, believes that Trump sent  federal troops into Berkeley the other night to conduct mass arrests of  protesters, trigging the riots. It’s completely untrue and she had no  idea where she heard it, but she believes it as much as she believes in  gravity. And her false belief, what psychologists would call a  hallucination (h/t Scott Adams), allows her to justify anything the rioters did, up to and including murder.

 Here’s the thing. You’ve probably heard the word “privilege” so much  you could puke when you hear it. The idea of white privilege is central  to the leftist hallucination. And the idea of a privileged race led  Germany to the Final Solution.

 Adolf Hitler wrote in 1919:

 "But an anti-Semitism based on reason must lead to a systematic legal elimination of the privileges of the Jews. The ultimate objective of such legislation must, however, be the irrevocable removal of the Jews from civil and cultural influence." 

 In fact, the Nazi propagandists worked overtime to defame Jews for  their privilege. Hitler claimed Jews avoided physical labor of any kind,  preferring work in finance, mercantile, and the arts. He lamented that  Jews wrote and produced 90 percent of German movies despite being only  one percent of the population. His propaganda depicted Jewish women as  fat and lazy, yet wealthy, feeding off the labor of the German people.

 Substitute “working class whites” for “Jews,” and Nazi propaganda  sounds a lot like CNN commentators and UC Berkeley professors. Even  so-called conservative Bill Kristol says it’s time to replace America’s white working class with immigrants.

 It’s pretty clear that the left uses the same rhetoric and  scapegoating against conservatives as the Nazi used against Jews. So we  have to ask if these leftists use the propaganda techniques to the same  end.

 The Nazis wanted to vilify and dehumanize Jews so the German people would be conditioned for the Final Solution: extermination.

 When you hear the speeches of campus protesters, you have to conclude  that the left has a final solution in mind for people like you and me.  You don’t have to take my word for it. Here are the words of a school teacher in Seattle protesting against Trump and his supporters:

 "And we need to start killing people. First off, we need to start  killing the White House. The White House must die. The White House, your  fucking White House, your fucking Presidents, they must go! Fuck the  White House. 

 Pay the fuck up, pay the fuck up. It ain’t just your fucking time,  it’s your fucking money, and now your fucking life is devoted to social  change."

 Democrats, establishment Republicans, and the supposedly  “responsible” media ignored this story. They ignored it because they are afraid of attracting the mob’s attention. Like Germans in the 1930s,  some people value their own survival too much to stop bloodshed and  brutality. 

-Hennessysview

It could be an exodus of the wealthy from the urban centers…

All those pricey urban meccas could become crime-ridden ghost towns. How  could such a reversal occur? Everyone who lives outside protected  enclaves will reach a point where the "urban lifestyle" is no longer  worth the sacrifices and costs. Once enough of the top 10% leave, the  food/beverage service industry implodes. 

Service employees are renters,  paying sky-high rents that unemployment can't cover. Vacant apartments  pile up. As the exodus gathers momentum, all the reasons people clung so  rabidly to urban meccas decay. Local government jacks up fees, tickets,  permits and taxes, accelerating the exodus. 

That's how pricey urban  meccas turn into ghost towns inhabited by those who can't leave and  those living on public services. 

-Of Two Minds Blog

It could be World War III…

It could be a shooting Civil War

And what would happen if a civil war, a CWII or SHTF event were to occur? America would be in chaos. Everything would be a mess, and the central governments from the Federal to the State, and Local levels would be very busy trying to maintain order.

Would other nations sit by and watch from afar? Would they decide to help and roll in the UN to restore order? Or would they just be content to watch America burn?

Thus, if a civil war broke out in the United States, would China, Russia, and Iran not jump in to finally render America helpless? To take advantage of the situation, to cripple the United States to a point where it could never ever, ever EVER fully recover?

Why NOT do a “double tap” and castrate America back into oblivion from which it would take a full 100 years to recover from?

Nuclear war, one initiated by America in order to control the American mobs, could easily reverse America's fortunes in a nanosecond. The idea that a war out here, or over there, would be created and have no consequences is a very dangerous belief. The world is not the 1960's, and not every nation is a thrid world tiny splat of land. Major nations are now getting involved in the global scene, and they do not take kindly to Americans throwing their weight around.
Nuclear war, one initiated by America in order to control the American mobs, could easily reverse America’s fortunes in a nanosecond. The idea that a war out here, or over there, would be created and have no consequences is a very dangerous belief. The world is not the 1960’s, and not every nation is a third world tiny splat of land. Major nations are now getting involved in the global scene, and they do not take kindly to Americans throwing their weight around.

If America has gotten fat, plump and comfortable, being the bully on the global stage, throwing “regime changing” wrenches (via the CIA, NED, and NID) to everyone from Venezuela, Syria, the Ukraine, Hong Kong and China, won’t other nations resent it?

And, if an opportunity presents itself, would not another nation take advantage of that opportunity. An opportunity to “de-fang” the United States, and “neuter” it’s ability to project global influence (read; power) in the world?

I would say yes.

"Hours after the bombs go off in cities, these fires continue to build up and they create firestorms that feed on themselves. They get so hot that everything in the city becomes fuel for its own destruction. The energy released becomes much greater than the weapon itself," Dr. Mills explained, drawing parallels to the way fire consumed the city of Dresden during the World War II. From each of these 100 detonations, massive firestorms would engulf whole cities and churn five million tons of black carbon into the stratosphere.
“Hours after the bombs go off in cities, these fires continue to build up and they create firestorms that feed on themselves. They get so hot that everything in the city becomes fuel for its own destruction. The energy released becomes much greater than the weapon itself,” Dr. Mills explained, drawing parallels to the way fire consumed the city of Dresden during the World War II. From each of these 100 detonations, massive firestorms would engulf whole cities and churn five million tons of black carbon into the stratosphere.
By nuking the major American cities, all industry would grind to a halt. Banking and savings would be non-existent. Everything would collapse and the survivors  would flee the cities into the countryside.

Americans should never be under the impression that the rest of the world views us with favor. In fact, it is quite the opposite.

The next turning could have the worst elements of everything known to ma. The could be nuclear war, chemical, biological and germ warfarem hig tecnology spying and swarm drone weapons. All of which could happen simultaneously while the USA government might to enact genocide against its citizenry.
The next turning could have the worst elements of everything known to man. This could be nuclear war, chemical, biological and germ warfare high technology spying and swarm drone weapons. All of which could happen simultaneously while the USA government might to enact genocide against its citizenry.

Oh, and by the way, a fellow by the name of John Titor claimed to be from the future. Yes, he claimed to be a time traveler from the future. He described just this exact scenario, where there was a rather long period of civil unrest and then Russia nuked all the cities. Whether you believe him or not is immaterial. He has some interesting things to ponder.

The link below opens up into a new tab for your reading pleasure.

From the post…

' The blogger suggests this because he questions what actually occurred  did not match all the conflicts that John Titor predicted.  Perhaps the  events he mentions will actually still occur, only they will actually  occur 10 years later.
  
 Maybe, instead of a civil war in 2013, there is one in 2023?  Nuclear war in 2025, instead of 2015. '

Remember those dates;

  • 2020 – Instability.
  • 2023 – Civil War.
  • 2025 – Nuclear War.

So, there is going to be an increase in the severity of the current mess…

Yes, there is.

And no, we don’t know the precise details.

But, do we really need to know all those details? History has told us that when America goes into a Fourth Turning reset situation, it becomes a no-rules cluster slug-fest. In fact, we can say that…

  • The most advanced weapons will be used.
  • War will be fought on American soil.
  • Foreign nations will be involved to some extent.

And since this is scheduled to happen pretty soon, what can you do (personally) to protect yourself and your family?

Well, I have some thoughts on this matter…

[1] Relocate to a safe, boring area.

Yes, you are trapped in the USA for now. Maybe things will open up next year, or maybe not. But in the meantime, you can relocate to a safe and quiet location that is pretty bland and boring. That’s the key don’t you know. Be bland. Be boring. Be safe. Be dull. Be uninteresting.

A great idea me-thinks.

But where?

[1a] Avoid all urban areas. You want to avoid crowds and the likelihood of meeting people who you do not know personally. Historically, cities have always been dangerous during societal upsets, resets and wars. Let me be clear about this; Get out while the getting’s good.

[1b] Avoid wilderness areas. One of the first things that began in March when the COVID-19 outbreak started to happen was all the city-dwellers took their RV’s, trucks, pickups and vehicles and headed for the state forests. The roads were blocked and the entire forests were jammed packed like a New York City rush hour with angry and frustrated city people. There were arguments, stores that were cleaned out and incidents of stabbings and shootings. Do not go where other people might go. Avoid state parks, federal parks, state and federal forests, and other “green areas” that are displayed on maps.

[1c] Move into a small town. Small towns have the basics that you need to survive. Additionally, it is much easier to make friends there. Now the thing is that if you move into a small community, you absolutely MUST know your neighbors. Do not plan on moving somewhere and not meeting people and making friends. Not only must you make friends, but you must be productive, helpful and good.

I would suggest that you also…

[2] Have a secure lifestyle

Which means…

[2a] Get involved in the community. A the bare minimum, this would include being a regular member of a church, and a member of some other activity, like the Chamber of Commerce, or the Grange, or the Rotary. make sure that you are known and recognized.

Many people think about “bugging in”, or “being mobile”. Here, I suggest that you integrate yourself with your community. For there is strength in numbers. Automatically, you will be part of something bigger. And when things go bad, you would be far, far better off than the lone guy hiding in a basement with six months stockpile of rice.

Now is NOT the time to be a “lone wolf”. You need to integrate yourself as part of a community and do it quickly.

And that is lifestyle.

To be a part of something, you must be ready and willing to participate in things and contribute. This is true in life, but it becomes very importantly true during crisis situations.

So here, I advise that you pick up some skills that you can use to provide help, services, and assistance were things to go really bad…

[2b] Emergency First Aid. You should take some classes in emergency first aid. You should be able to bend a broken arm, stitch up a cut, and perform emergency surgery. You should know how to handle gunshot wounds, infections, and food poisonings. This means that not only would you take a singular class at the YMCA, but advanced courses at the community college, and have some reference books on hand in your house. Finally, let people KNOW that you have these skills.

and…

This is not only a useful skill for yourself, but it is something that you can trade for when you need to trade or barter.

[2c] Access to fresh water. During great societal upsets the ability to get water, electricity and internet is gone. Some areas might be spared this, but most will not. We know from recent history that in Bosnia, people died trying to get fresh water, or contracted illnesses from drinking tainted water. Either have a way to collect and purify water, or invest in a well.

[2d] Ability to repair without electricity. Which means that the ability to repair things without electricity would be a very valuable skill. If you have access to a manual lathe, or other such tools, you will be able to provide your services from anything to repairing a windmill on a water pump, to repairing a gun. Be helpful.

Try repairing things without electricity. You will be surprised how difficult it is. You need to be able to do this with files, hammers and pliers.

[2e] Local Indian lore. Long before the United States was colonized, the local Indians in your region lived well. They farmed and had their own ways of preserving food, and treating their sick. This is local lore that has been forgotten, but not at the local library or historical society. Connect with these people and learn a thing or two. You will not regret it.

[3] Household Security

This is one of those things that you see all over the Internet. How to make hide-holes, and how to secure your windows and other such things. There is much to cover here, but I will stick to the basics.

[3a] You need well bolted doors. One that can be barricaded with 2×4 lumber pieces from the inside (two beams, top and bottom, resting on a metal clamp). It might not prevent your house from burning down, but it will be able to defend against roving bands of urban youth in jacked cars.

[3b] Windows need to be secured and covered if need be. Plywood, ready to put up in place, or welded metal bars, or other systems that would make break-ins very difficult.

[3c] The home needs to be hidden with overgrown shrubbery and debris. Sure, eventually people will find you. But don’t make it easy. Be the junk yard next to the gold refinery. Be the boring electrical sub-station next to the grocery store. Be the abandoned building next to the hardware store.

[3d] You need a hidden room, or basement chamber. Any hidden room, or any size if far better than none at all. You need to be able to secure your valuables, both things and people.

[3e] You need guns and you need not to be afraid to use them. I would suggest that you forget about those cheap SKS banana-clip pseudo assault guns. Get yourself a couple of shotguns. And a few reliable 9mm handguns. Expect that when you shoot people, it will NOT be like television. They will not go down on the first shot. Chances are that you would have to empty the entire clip into their chest. Be ready to use them.

[3f] You need a garden and you need to keep it working year-around. Make sure that you always have potatoes, onions, and other related root crops planted. Most bandits couldn’t tell a potato plant from skunk weed. So while they might raid your tomato bushes, they would tend to leave your potatoes alone. Plant some apple trees, and other berry bushes. Let your property provide sustenance for you.

[3g] If you have room, consider a chicken coop. Learn how to raise chickens. These are a great thing to do to provide food on your table, and a great way to trade with your neighbors with.

[4] Supplies

From what I see, things are going to get really bad over the next three years. Finally around 2025, things are going to go to shit really fast. So you’ve got a precious few years to stock up, learn and prepare. I hope that things won’t go “tits up” in your area, but if they do, you’ll be ready for anything.

[4a] You need basic food supplies to last you for at least six months. This means canned goods, rice, wheat flour, nuts, and other things of importance. Like cooking oil, salt, pepper, baking soda, yeast, etc. Buy the cans by the case. Buy the staples by the sack. Buy the liquids by the gallon.

[4b] Additionally, you will need “kits”. These are things that will provide you will options if things go really bad. Like cages to raise pigeons in, fishing tackle, traps for rabbits and other small game, crossbow or other quiet way to hunt. And, with everything, you had best be well prepared in how to use them effectively and properly.

[4c] Prepare things for trade. You should plan on having things for trade. The most popular things are vices. So you can stock up with cheap alcohol in little bottles (bigger than those airline bottles), smaller than a regular bottle. This can be any alcohol. Same goes for tobacco, cigarettes, and other related items. Including disposable lighters. (You can buy a case of 100 really cheaply.)

[5] Mobility

You should have a bicycle or two. Both should be capable of off road use. Do not expect that vehicles will still be operable during the height of the crisis. In fact, you will probably want to keep off the roads. Anything that will enable you to travel quickly and silently through the forest would be an advantage.

[6] Electric system

You should have a system of recharging DC batteries. Whether this is by solar power or wind, and then have a set of walkee-talkee’s. You can also have a small battery powered, or hand crank powered radio and lights. Plan now. Do not wait until the last moment.

Here at MM I can supply shipping containers of this stuff. (nothing smaller than a pallet load). If you are interested contact me privately on laobangbh@163.com .

[7] Deceptions

If things get to the point where the government has broken down…

Police are unavailable. Military are deployed in certain areas. News is periodic or confused, then you know that SHTF is getting worse. You will need to create deceptions to make your property unattractive.

Some ideas.

[7a] (Fake) Downed high power lines with signs that warn of “High Voltage”. And (if possible) some low voltage DC shock wires to dissuade any adventuresome individual.

[7b] A few dead people in the yard that looks like they got trapped when they messed up with the wrong people.

[7c] Bad odors, flies, maggots, and refuse.

[7d] Rattling cans, and other things that make a real racket is anyone moves in a certain area on your property. Most people want stealth and quiet. Even after all the turmoil dies down, people will still travel in small groups and move about silently. By rigging up noise makers, you will discourage these people from coming near your property.

[7e] Traps. With spikes, barbed wire, and other mechanisms that can be lethal if triggered. Think Vietnam booby-traps.

The idea here is that you do not want anyone to come near your space and your property. You will make it as unappealing as possible, and life threatening tends to work the best.

These next few years are critical.

It will be a transformation of sorts.

And then this, also from The Fourth Turning:

With or without war, American society will be transformed into something different. 

The emergent society may be something better, a nation that sustains its Framers’ visions with a robust new pride. 

Or it  may be something unspeakably worse. 

The Fourth Turning will be a time of glory or ruin.

It will be a turning point. It will be a point of inversion, a point of change. A point where things go one way or the other, and everyone in the middle is killed.

Glory or Ruin.

It will be the us vs them. The patriots vs the Red Coats. The grey vs the blue. The yanks against the Nazi’s.

Conclusion

Aside from the move to a safe spot, every item on this list can be purchased in total under a few thousand dollars.

If nothing happens, then consider yourself fortunate. You will have squandered your money on a insurance policy. But you and I both know that things are building up. The Antifa and BLM are on the march and are openly telling everyone what they plan to do. Theya re being funded by rich oligarchs, and are receiving large sums of money and weapons…

If something does happen, while you might not be the best prepared prepper in the nation, you will be able to survive. And that is what all this is about. Survival.

I wish that you all could have done what I did, and took a “life boat” off to a far away land. But most of you did not. Instead, figuring that you would know when you would need to leave, and then leave then.

Well… that time came and went. And you should have left the same time as when the oligarchy fled. The last week of March 2020.

Now, you are left behind.

You are now completely trapped with the rest of the population upon a ship that is slowly sinking into the deep dark cold waters.

It’s quiet now…

But the Captain is busy shouting orders to the staff, and people are a little restless in the lounges and staterooms. He’s slurring his voice, and making all kinds of strange proclamations and orders. Sometimes the stewards just stand there and look at him with a blank expression on their face. “Is he mad?” they ask themselves.

Do not think that it is just going to go away. Plan and take the necessary actions to secure you and your family’s safety.

Do you want more?

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I hope that you found this post curious. Please take care. You can view other similar posts in my SHTF Index, here…

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Roger V Tranfaglia

Was a bit confused about YOU because of your “cover picture” on top. The nutjob in the center (with glasses) is the “leader” of Redneck Revolt” a bunch of wannabe antifa COWARDS. He is allegedly a “professor” at a community college. He is also RESPONSIBLE for creating a multiple car crash that wound up KILLING Heather Heyer in Charlottesville some years ago
Other than that, Thank YOU for the heads up.
I’ve been told by 2 Vietnam Vets, in 2 different times of my life. Prepare for the worst, HOPE for the best.
P.S. YES, I know…I carry a “big stick” though.

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congjing yu

Well thanks for that. I don’t know about the history about some of the pictures that I use for illustrative purposes. But I will try to add a notation in the post.

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