2023 03 31 1f5 16

Light and darkness

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Growing up as a young boy, I lived off “breakfast cereals” every morning. These are just sugar-coated wheat or rice pellets. I would put sugar in generous heaps piled on top of the pellets and then add icy cold milk to it.

2023 04 01 08 09
2023 04 01 08 09

Over the years, I have grown away from this expensive habit. Accepting warmer cooked foods, often not sugary, and coffee as replacements.

As we age; we change.

I call this growth.

Is it good or bad,  Time will tell. But right now, I feel healthier than I ever did when I lived in the USA; twenty years ago.

Things that make you go hum…


Personally, I view all this military and nuclear weapons systems, as China and Russia holding a “shotgun to the head” of the United States. They are telling “President” Biden that they know that the United States is either bat-shit crazy, or acting irrational (on the global Geo-political scene) intentionally for Geo-political advantage.

Don’t fuck with us. They say.

Just do though your death spasms, but don’t fuck with us.

If you do, well then…


Suicide by cop might actually be the way the United States ends.

But, you know, there are smart people in both China and Russia. They know everything that I am describing right now.

And you and I, well…

We don’t know the full story; getting the full intel. But one thing is certain, the USA is totally fucked.

It’s just simply a matter of perception about how bad it actually is.

ALL roads now lead thru China

  • within three hours
  • three leaders from Malaysia, Singapore AND Spain
  • arrived in Beijing
  • others like President Macron of France and EU President Ursula von der Leyen
  • will arrive in the next several weeks

It is clear that the world have now ANOINTED a new leader

  • disgusted with the constant war and death
  • the bullying and belittling
  • most of all, its constant diatribe of hate

that the prior leader had inflicted on others

THAT this world seek peaceful coexistant

a FAMILY of NATIONS

Americans have no idea how bad badly it’s going to affect them.

White House — Americans in Russia Should LEAVE IMMEDIATELY

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The White House today publicly told Americans residing in, or traveling in Russia, to “Leave Russia Immediately.”

Here’s the White House Statement:

US AmericansShouldLeaveRussiaImmediately
US AmericansShouldLeaveRussiaImmediately

Absolutely Fantastic Coconut Lamps by Vainius Kubilius

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Artist Vainius Kubilius carefully crafts lamps that project visually exciting and exotic patterns of light on adjacent walls. Unlike your typical light designer, Kubilius doesn’t simply work with metals and manmade materials. Instead, this creative innovator incorporates coconuts into his products, which he designs under the label Nymphs.

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The TikTok Hearing and Xiang Zhuang’s Sword Dance as Viewed by Two CICIR Analysts

“If incidents like TikTok were to occur repeatedly, the [world’s] digital future would indeed be a worrying one. In this sense, the TikTok saga cannot be given enough strategic scrutiny and attention”

Today’s edition of Sinification focuses on one of the many reactions in China to the US Congress’s recent hearing on the popular video-sharing app TikTok. The piece presented below is co-authored by two analysts from the influential China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations (CICIR) and offers a somewhat more moderate appraisal of TikTok’s recent scrutiny in the US than others (for a more hawkish and propagandistic commentary, see for example Tian Feilong’s recent opinion piece for Guancha.cn). Their article is entitled “Xiang Zhuang’s Sword Dance: What is he after? — The Prismatic Effect of the TikTok Incident”, which refers to a famous plot by warlord Xiang Yu (项羽) to kill the future founder and first emperor of the Han dynasty Liu Bang (刘邦) in 206 BC. In TikTok’s case, the one performing this deceptive sword dance is, of course, the United States. The authors base most of their commentary on arguments made by Western analysts, another reminder perhaps of how much more closely the Chinese follow discussions in the West than we do theirs – yet also how much easier it is for them to do so. Beyond the language barrier, I am referring here to both the censorship and self-censorship that hinder public political discussions in China. Though less acute than what is often assumed, such constraints are nevertheless real and make the analysis of these debates all the more difficult.

SUMMARY

  • US concerns that TikTok may pose a threat to its national security are, of course, dismissed with the company being compared to “an innocent man whose talent has aroused the envy of others”.
  • The US’s crackdown on TikTok is said to be a case of “treating the symptoms but not the root cause” and the result of the politicisation of America’s tech and industrial policies.
  • It is seen as a symbol of Washington’s quest for cyber “dominance and leadership” in the world and its desire to constrain China in this field.
  • The TikTok affair is depicted as particularly worrying and as potentially auguring further TikTok-like crackdowns – a trend that would also exacerbate an already fragmented internet.

EXCERPTS

It is widely believed that this [TikTok] affair, although seemingly targeted against TikTok, is in actual fact ‘unrelated’ to it [与其’无关’]. It is but the tip of the iceberg in the US government's many overpowering measures to crackdown on China in the digital sector. Thus, our attention should go beyond this event itself and focus on the various implications it brings to light.”

“[The crackdown on TikTok] is nothing other than a case of the innocent man whose talent has aroused the envy of others [无他,匹夫无罪,怀璧其罪罢了]. Washington’s new National Cybersecurity Strategy clearly states the need for the US to rebuild the digital ecosystem and cyberspace so that it can ensure America’s [global] dominance and leadership. And as we all know, the future digital ecosystem and cyberspace will be built on new technologies and apps. Digital market giants such as leading tech companies are undoubtedly one of these key elements.”

“Meanwhile, the rise of TikTok in recent years has seen it become one of the very few competitors to Facebook, Google and others.”

“Throughout the [TikTok] hearing, there was a common feeling among onlookers that ‘Xiang Zhuang was dancing with a sword’ [i.e. the US had ulterior motives]. The US government's wielding of its so-called data security weapon [数据安全大杀器] was the nominal focus of the questioning. However, members of the hearing committee consistently turned a deaf ear to the data security protection model that TikTok had agreed on during its discussions with the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS). Instead, they latched onto its Chinese-owned background and wouldn’t let go of this. Before the hearing, FBI Director Chris Wray claimed that the Chinese government could control TikTok's activities in the US remotely. During the hearing, House Committee on Energy and Commerce Chair Rodgers and [Ranking Member] Pallone both said that its Chinese-owned background made it impossible for TikTok to adhere to American values and continued to repeat the cliché that TikTok is a Chinese government proxy corporation in the US that has the potential to harm America’s domestic security. After the hearing, US Senate Select Committee on Intelligence Chair Mark Warner stated that the hearing had failed to allay lawmakers' concerns about TikTok's links to the Chinese government.”

“In fact, as the US side itself admits, all of this is just an excuse [一切只是由头]. According to Glenn Gerstell, a researcher at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) and former general counsel of the US National Security Agency (NSA), the data held by TikTok does not in fact constitute a strategic risk [Comment: As far as I am aware, Glenn Gerstell has not said this. His arguments have been a lot more nuanced. See here and here for some of his thoughts on the matter].”

“Caitlin Chin, another researcher at CSIS, further stated that recent [measures], such as the US DATA Act and the RESTRICT Act, have all been targeted against China, and that TikTok's Chinese-owned background is itself an easy target to attack [Comment: I am not familiar with Caitlin Chin’s views, but here are two of her most recent commentaries on this issue: 1. Banning TikTok Will Not Solve U.S. Online Disinformation Problems; 2. The Plans to Ban TikTok Aren’t Really About TikTok].”

“All this shows that these various acts of political grandstanding [各种粉墨登场式的卖力表演] really have little to do with TikTok itself, which has become nothing more than a political mobilisation ‘tool [工具人]’ for the US government in the digital sphere.”

“Discussions are still underway on how to resolve this issue properly. For example, Justin Sherman, a researcher at the Atlantic Council, a US think tank, believes that the solution to the TikTok issue should not be limited to the binary choice of banning or not banning it. Additionally, US Secretary of State [Antony] Blinken has said that, apart from a ban, there were [other] ways of addressing the TikTok problem [Comment: In response to the question ‘Shouldn’t a threat to United States security be banned?’, Blinken’s word-for-word answer was, ‘It should be ended one way or another. But there are different ways of doing that’].”

“James Lewis, senior vice president of the American think tank CSIS, also recommended that while the US should take action against TikTok, it should not be banned [Comment: Since no references were provided in this article, the authors could be referring to Lewis’s argument that it would be unconstitutional to ban TikTok on account of America’s right to free speech]. Instead, CFIUS [could] set oversight conditions and form an oversight committee, thereby reducing the national security risks posed by TikTok.”

“In reality, however, these solutions will be treating only the symptoms and not the root cause [‘治标’不‘治本’]. That is because the issue itself is a result of the ‘politicisation’ of [the US’s] tech and industrial policies. If the politicisation problem is not addressed in a fundamental way, not only will the plight of TikTok itself be difficult to resolve, but one can even foresee many other such ‘TikTok’ incidents emerging in other areas.”

“Although the final outcome of the [TikTok] case has not yet been decided, the longer-term and deeper ramifications of this event have already emerged. These deserve deep consideration and very close attention. For example, does this episode indicate that the US government's regulation of global cyberspace is set to shift further from ‘behind the scenes’ to ‘the front of the stage’ [从’幕后’走向’台前’]? Well-known global cyber-surveillance incidents such as ‘PRISM gate’ have shown that the US’s [attitude towards] cyber-surveillance has both a dark and a light side. Ostensibly, [the US] has been a proponent of so-called freedom and equality online and has been promoting the flow of data and content. But following the TikTok saga, the international community is [now] worried that as Washington’s digital and online policies become increasingly assertive and politicised, its intervention in and regulation of [this space] will intensify. As Marietje Schaake, a researcher at Stanford University's Cyber Policy Centre and former Member of the European Parliament, has said, a by-product of [America’s] oversight of TikTok has been that the US has recognised the failure of its so-called hands-off approach towards online businesses and that a political consensus is emerging in government to further regulate cyberspace.”

“In light of this, there have been increasing concerns about the further fragmentation of the internet. As Lewis claims, a US ban on TikTok is bound to trigger Chinese countermeasures. Alena Epifanova, a researcher at the German Council on Foreign Relations, believes that should a US ban trigger an escalation in conflicting US and Chinese policies, the impact would go far beyond China and the US and could jeopardise the future of the global internet. Katja Muñoz, [another] researcher at the German Council on Foreign Relations, says that a US ban could trigger emulation around the world, setting a bad precedent for internet protectionism across countries and prompting the introduction of more bans against online businesses, which would be extremely destructive.”

“Therefore, from the perspective of geopolitical security and strategic rivalry, the TikTok issue may be only the tip of the iceberg. But the entire future of the online and digital space ecosystem will be shaped by [the fact that] ‘many a little makes a muckle’ [聚沙成塔: lit. grains of sand put together can make a tower] or even ‘dripping water turns into ice’ [滴水成冰]. If incidents like TikTok were to occur again and again, the [world’s] digital future would indeed be a worrying one. In this sense, the TikTok saga cannot be given enough strategic scrutiny and attention.

Bacon, Lettuce and Tomato Pie

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2023 03 31 21 40

Ingredients

  • 12 slices bacon, fried crisp and crumbled
  • 1 cup shredded cheese
  • 1/2 cup milk
  • 1/2 cup mayonnaise
  • Chopped onion to taste
  • 4 eggs
  • 1 cup Bisquick
  • Salt and pepper to taste

Instructions

  1. Butter a 9-inch pie pan.
  2. Layer bacon crumbs on bottom and cheese on top.
  3. Beat remaining ingredients until smooth. Pour over top.
  4. Bake at 400 degrees F for 30 to 35 minutes.
  5. Cool for 5 minutes.
  6. Garnish with mayonnaise, lettuce, tomato and bacon.

I am from Taiwan.

Yes, that is more or less where things are going. Not only will it be considered a CCP propaganda, but the agenda is to make the word “China” sound dirty, and those who invoke the word feel filthy and ashamed, thus shy away from using it.

IBM recently unveiled its new suite of quantum computer modules, named after many Asian cities. You would think, with China’s status in research in quantum computing, it would include many Chinese cities. Wrong. There are modules named after Auckland, Mumbai, of course, even Hanoi, but not a single Chinese city. IBM doesn’t want to look non-sexy, or even filthy.

Recently I saw an American woman promoting rice bowl dishes on TV. She said, “You know, there are so many wonderful rice bowl dishes in Asia, Korean rice bowl, Japanese rice bowl, Vietnamese rice bowl, ….”, at which point she caught herself, lest she should sound filthy and shameful. Good for her that she narrowly escaped becoming the pariah of that TV show.

The antithesis of that is Taiwan, where I am from. In the West, if you say anything negative about Taiwan, you are labeled a CCP mouthpiece. This happened recently with the University of London, which labeled everyone a Chinese spy who inquired about the Taiwanese president’s self-proclaimed but unprovable PhD degree. BBC (of course!) even gave those people colluding with the University of London ample airtime to broadcast this accusation.

“If you are curious about whether the Taiwanese president really has a PhD, you are a Chinese spy!”

— University of London

When Dize Does Matter – Bestiarum Vocabulum: Last Of The Earth’s Giants

Patrick Aryee is a biologist. After studying Cancer Biology at the University of Bristol, Patrick decided to pursue a career in wildlife filmmaking and was an integral crew member for a number of BBC productions. Now, Patrick Aryee’s gets up close and personal with some of the world’s biggest creatures in his new three-part series. Episode one airs on Sky1, Wednesday 13 June, 9pm.

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2023 03 31 15 13

The Amphimachairodus, an early member of the cat family, was 1.3m in length and weighed an estimated 490kg. (Photo by Sky TV/The Guardian)

h/t: theguardian

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2023 03 31 15 1d4

The ice age giant ground sloth (Megatherium) stood a colossal 5.5m high. Meanwhile the Glyptodon is a prehistoric relative of the modern armadillo – albeit one the size of a VW Beetle. While the terror bird from the Cenozoic era was a truly terrifying 3m high. (Photo by Sky TV/The Guardian)

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2023 03 31 15 z14

This giant snake, Titanoboa, lived around 58 to 60 million years ago. (Photo by Sky TV/The Guardian)

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2023 03 31 15 15

The Gigantopithecus Blacki, a giant ape from nine million years ago, was 3m tall. (Photo by Sky TV/The Guardian)

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2023 03 31 15 g5

Canis Dirus translates to “fearsome dog” and the creature is also known as a “dire wolf”. It lived in the Late Pleistocene and Early Holocene epochs. (Photo by Sky TV/The Guardian)

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2023 03 31 15 16

This prehistoric sperm whale was 16m long from nose to tail. (Photo by Sky TV/The Guardian)

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2023 03 31 1f5 16

The D einotherium, a prehistoric relative of the elephant, was 4.1m high. (Photo by Sky TV/The Guardian)

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2023 03 31 1fa5 1af7

This Megalodon (big tooth) lived between 23 and 2.6m years ago. It is an early relative of the great white shark and palaeontologists believe it was a staggering 20m in length. (Photo by Sky TV/The Guardian)

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2023 03 31 15 17

The A mphimachairodus giganeus and the D inocrcuta gigantea where both 1.3m high with truly fearsome teeth and powerful jaws. (Photo by Sky TV/The Guardian)

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2023 w03 31 15 17

This enormous prehistoric relative of the brown bear, Arctotherium angustidens, was the height of a grown man when walking on all four paws. (Photo by Sky TV/The Guardian)

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2023 03 31 15 18

Fossil records indicate that this early lizard, Megalina prisca, was a whopping seven metres in length. (Photo by Sky TV/The Guardian)

The American hypersonic “Dagger” died without being born

The United States took the appearance of Russian hypersonic missiles “Dagger” and “Zircon” very painfully and in recent years has been desperately trying to catch up with us in this critically important segment of weapons.

One of the “answers” to Russia was to be the new AGM-183A air-launched missile (ARRW). It was supposed to be deployed in the first half of the 2020s.

But, this “product”, having failed its next test on March 13, 2023, completely lost the “trust” of the US Air Force command and yesterday it was announced that work on this program was being curtailed.

In general, the American “Dagger” died without being born, and ours has successfully hit the enemy for the umpteenth time, incl. and officers of the NATO countries who had the imprudence to end up in Ukraine in specially protected bunkers of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

P.S. How did they write in the USA about “Daggers” several years ago – “beautiful pictures for Putin”? Well, now let them admire their pictures, which will forever remain just pictures…”

Twitter HERE

Looks like they never solved the maneuverability, ramjet and communication problems related to hypersonic technology, needed to create a weapon like Zircon. They might be able to make some missile that can fly over mach 5 intermediary flight stage, but has to slow down and become regular supersonic missile for target acquirement and maneuvering.

Posted by: unimperator | Mar 30 2023 14:03 utc | 2

Geopolitics & Car Manufacturing

As I have detailed before, the global car manufacturing industry is the largest and most impactful manufacturing sector, with huge spin-offs in electronics, software, electric battery and general mass manufacturing technologies. With the replacement of internal combustion engines (ICE) with electric propulsion system vehicles (EV), the area in which Chinese car manufacturers lagged was replaced with an area where they could leap-frog (along with Tesla). Already in the Chinese car market, the largest car market in the world, the sales of ICE cars have peaked and are falling:

2020 Chinese Car Sales: 19.7 million, of which 1.27 million were EVs

2021 Chinese Car Sales: 21.48 million, of which 2.9 million were EVs

2022 Chinese Car Sales: 23.6 million, of which 5.92 million were EVs

Therefore, Chinese ICE car sales were 18.43 million in 2020, 18.58 million in 2021, and dropped to 17.68 million in 2022 even as the overall car market grew substantially. Estimates for Chinese EV sales in 2023 are forecast to reach 8 million with little overall car market growth, meaning that ICE sales will fall to 15.6 million – a fall of 2.08 million sales (11.7%)! This fall will be concentrated in the foreign car manufacturers (excluding Tesla) as they provide the majority of the ICE vehicles while having little or no share of EV sales (excluding Tesla). The Chinese car manufacturers are generally represented in both ICE and EV sales (e.g. SAIC, GAC, Changan, Geely, Chery) or are completely focused on EV sales (BYD, Li, Xpeng, Nio). Every extra EV sale will tend to reduce sales of foreign manufacturers brands and increase those of local brands.

Could things be much worse for the foreign ICE brands? Yes, for two reasons, the Tesla instigated price war and new ICE emission standards coming into effect in July. The Tesla China price cuts in October of last year then in January of this year, together with the falling costs of manufacturing inputs (e.g. Lithium) has produced somewhat of a price war which has brought EVs on par with ICE cars with respect to purchase price. This has easily offset any negative effects from the reduction in EV incentives at the end of 2022 and may lead to a faster displacement of ICE vehicles; EV sales will be higher than forecast and therefore ICE sales less than forecast. Lower sales for the European manufacturers and higher sales for Chinese manufacturers (plus Tesla). In the first two months of 2023, Volkswagen only outsold BYD by about 60,000 cars (ICE and EV) with Toyota lagging far behind and with Changan and Geely nipping at its heels. The German and Japanese manufacturers used to dominate the Chinese car market and rely on China for a large share of their profits (e.g. 50% for VW); none have a meaningful position among EVs in China. This will only get worse in 2024 and 2025, as EV market share moves well past 50%.

With sales lagging far behind production, the ICE manufacturers and their dealers have an increasing number of cars swelling their inventories. The problem is that those cars will become illegal to sell in China from July, when the new emissions regulations come into place (Electric Viking covers this well in the video below). The ICE manufacturers only option is to slash prices to move those cars, with the EV price war significantly reducing the prices required to move the cars, or ship the cars abroad to sell them at significantly lower prices (with the net price reduced even further by shipping costs). There could possibly be millions of cars sold at losses of US$10,000s, producing overall losses of tens of billions split between the dealers (who own the cars once they take delivery) and the car manufacturers; possibly bankrupting much of the European, Japanese and US manufacturer’s Chinese dealership network and producing large losses for the manufacturers themselves.

The end result will be a financially damaged set of Western car manufacturers, some impact to Chinese manufacturers (some of the smaller more marginal ones may go by the wayside), and a significant jump by the winners which may include BYD, Tesla, GAC and many other Chinese manufacturers; with domestic manufacturers taking a much larger, and increasing, share of the Chinese market.

With a recession in the offing for both the US market (important to Japanese as well as US manufacturers) and Europe, together with the effect of the Tesla price cuts in the US and the price cuts plus increasing China brand sales in Europe (e.g. MG), the traditional Western ICE car manufacturers may find themselves in a rapidly falling downward spiral. They will not only have falling revenues, and losses from selling Chinese ICE cars below cost to clear them, but also many of their assets (e.g. ICE manufacturing plants) may be rendered obsolete; requiring significant write-offs for not fully depreciated assets. As a manufacturer’s revenue and asset levels form the basis for loan agreements, and these ICE manufacturers have extremely large amounts of debt, they could rapidly find themselves in both liquidity and solvency crises.

There may be some protection for the US home market from the Trump implemented China tariffs and the recent protectionist Inflation Reduction Act (for example, BYD has no plans to set up a US plant), but the European market has no such protection. GM has pretty much exited its international operations, with its Chinese sales produced through joint ventures with SAIC (SAIC-GM) and SAIC and Wuling (SGMW) that it does not have majority control over. The recent travails of GM joint-venture sales in China:

Ford has already significantly retrenched its international operations, and its Chinese sales are handled through a joint-venture with Changan-Ford; with a 2% market share. To all intents and purposes GM and Ford have become US domestic manufacturers of mostly trucks and SUVs. In China both SAIC and Changan have the possibility of offsetting falling GM and Ford sales with sales of their own brands, including EVs. The threat in the US will tend to come from Tesla for the next few years, the real battleground will be Europe and the rest of the world outside the US and China. The biggest losers may be VW, Toyota, BMW and Mercedes Benz – exposed to the Chinese, European and US markets.

This will be at a time when Western government deficits are stretched by increased defence spending and recession, European deficits have been stretched by subsidies to cushion populations from huge increases in energy costs, and COVID has already produced much higher debt levels. The significantly increased interest rates to fight inflation, from near zero levels, will also exacerbate deficits due to increased interest payments. It is these stretched governments that will be asked to bail out the failing Western car manufacturers. Even if some manufacturers are bailed out, the result will be a much-reduced Western car industry (excluding Tesla) and a significant increase in the Chinese share of that industry; one where they already dominate the battery sector.

Such a realignment within the largest and most important manufacturing sector in the world will have very significant geopolitical impacts, with the West being further “hollowed out”. The inclusion of Japan and possibly South Korea in this hollowing out may significantly impact the balance of power within Asia, and the relationship between the nations of ASEAN and China. Any protectionist measures taken by South Korea or Japan to protect their car industries will most probably doom their car sales in the largest global car market, China. The possible devastation and downsizing of the European car industry, combined with the self-harming sanctions fallout, may remove Europe (and especially Germany) as a significant geopolitical player. Chinese automobile dominance in Latin America will further pull that region into the Chinese economic sphere.

Geopolitical strength is most fundamentally based upon geo-economic considerations, and the realignment of the most important global manufacturing industry will have impacts that ripple throughout the world over the next years and decades. The major winner will be China, with a Russia benefitting from a much-weakened Europe.

Yeah, I learned I'm feeling sick , whats happening to my country. Born in '57, it was great, you youngsters wouldn't believe how cool it was. Really you wouldn't .

China, Brazil strike deal to ditch U.S. dollar for trade

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China and Brazil have reached a deal to trade in their own currencies, ditching the US dollar as an intermediary, the Brazilian government said on Wednesday, Beijing’s latest salvo against the almighty greenback.

The deal will enable China, the top rival to US economic hegemony, and Brazil, the biggest economy in Latin America, to conduct their massive trade and financial transactions directly, exchanging yuan for reais and vice versa instead of going through the dollar.

“The expectation is that this will reduce costs… promote even greater bilateral trade and facilitate investment,” the Brazilian Trade and Investment Promotion Agency (ApexBrasil) said in a statement.

China is Brazil’s biggest trading partner, with a record US$150.5 billion (S$200 billion) in bilateral trade last year.

The deal, which follows a preliminary agreement in January, was announced after a high-level China-Brazil business forum in Beijing.

Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva was originally scheduled to attend the forum as part of a high-profile China visit, but had to postpone his trip indefinitely on Sunday after he came down with pneumonia.

The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China and Bank of Communications BBM will execute the transactions, officials said.

China has similar currency deals with Russia, Pakistan and several other countries.

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The most dramatic effects of a weakening dollar will be scrutiny of the Pentagon budget. So long as the dollar is protected by its reserve currency status the party can continue. It is a pity that the US wasted the enormous value it got from its seignorage on arms destined to be useless but that is life. The public, as noted in the Boston Review article cited @16 above, has been axcuded from foreign policy decisions since 1945 so the enormous amounts spent on what is laughably called ‘Defence’ have been subject to very little public or congressional scrutiny.
The Pentagon says “Jump” and the American People reply “How High?”

De-dollarisation will put an end to that. Having to fork out money for weapons that are never used except on targets that they are totally inappropriate for (cf B52s and Afghan wedding parties) will help concentrate minds as Americans are asked to finance expenditure out of the taxes that they pay. And which bear disproportionately on those least able to pay them.
This year’s budget is discussed by William D. Hartung at Information Clearing House, which is returning to form after a lean period due to ill health.

“On March 13th, the Pentagon rolled out its proposed budget for Fiscal Year 2024. The results were — or at least should have been — stunning, even by the standards of a department that’s used to getting what it wants when it wants it.

“The new Pentagon budget would come in at $842 billion. That’s the highest level requested since World War II, except for the peak moment of the Afghan and Iraq wars, when the United States had nearly 200,000 troops deployed in those two countries.

“It’s important to note that the $842 billion proposed price tag for the Pentagon next year will only be the beginning of what taxpayers will be asked to shell out in the name of “defense.” If you add in nuclear weapons work at the Department of Energy and small amounts of military spending spread across other agencies, you’re already at a total military budget of $886 billion. And if last year is any guide, Congress will add tens of billions of dollars extra to that sum, while yet more billions will go for emergency aid to Ukraine to help it fend off Russia’s brutal (sic)* invasion. In short, we’re talking about possible total spending of well over $950 billion on war and preparations for more of it — within striking distance, in other words, of the $1 trillion mark that hawkish officials and pundits could only dream about a few short years ago.

“The ultimate driver of that enormous spending spree is a seldom-commented-upon strategy of global military overreach, including 750 U.S. military bases scattered on every continent except Antarctica, 170,000 troops stationed overseas, and counterterror operations in at least 85 — no, that is not a typo — countries (a count offered by Brown University’s Costs of War Project). Worse yet, the Biden administration only seems to be preparing for more of the same. Its National Defense Strategy, released late last year, manages to find the potential for conflict virtually everywhere on the planet and calls for preparations to win a war with Russia and/or China, fight Iran and North Korea, and continue to wage a global war on terror, which, in recent times, has been redubbed “countering violent extremism.” Think of such a strategic view of the world as the exact opposite of the “diplomacy first” approach touted by President Joe Biden and his team during his early months in office. Worse yet, it’s more likely to serve as a recipe for conflict than a blueprint for peace and security….”
HERE

* The (sic) is mine. The ‘brutal invasion’ hyperbole part of the price that Tom Englehard and Hartung pay for not thinking things through. After seventy years of Cold War its as unsurprising as it is lamentable

Posted by: bevin | Mar 30 2023 21:58 utc | 60

France Buys 65,000 Tons of Natural Gas from “China” – Pays for it in Yuan, NOT DOLLARS!

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China has just completed its first trade of liquefied natural gas (LNG) settled in Chinese yuan currency, the Shanghai Petroleum and Natural Gas Exchange confirmed.

Chinese state oil and gas giant CNOOC and TotalEnergies completed the first LNG trade on the exchange with settlement in the Chinese currency, the exchange said in their statement.

The trade involved around 65,000 tons of LNG imported from the United Arab Emirates, the Shanghai Petroleum and Natural Gas Exchange added.

NOTE: China will never admit that it is re-exporting Russian LNG even though it now does it all the time!

The French supermajor, one of the world’s top LNG traders, confirmed to Reuters that the trade involved LNG imported from the UAE, but declined to comment further on the deal.

Hal Turner Commentary Opinion

So now our ally, France, is ditching the US dollar for fossil fuel trades. One by one, countries of the entire world seem to be giving-up on using the U.S. Dollar. Instead, countries are negotiating currency values between each other, then using local currency to settle trade deals.

This is the death knell for the USA.

As more and more countries use fewer and fewer dollars, all those excess dollars they’ve been holding in the central bank reserves, will end up coming back here to the United States because countries don’t need (or want) them anymore.

As all that cash returns to America, the value of the US Dollar will plummet against foreign currencies.

Since the US doesn’t manufacture much of anything here anymore, but instead imports from foreign countries, all the things we have to import will get more and more expensive as the dollar falls further and further in value. America will see inflation similar to what the Weimar Republic suffered before World War 2, with wheel barrows of cash needed to buy a loaf of bread.

All this is happening because our federal government is meddling in the affairs of so many foreign lands. If those foreign countries fail – or refuse — to do what America wants, our federal government imposes economic sanctions, forbidding those countries from using “our” money for “their” trade.

In the past, economic sanction from the US would mean a country was literally cut off from most foreign markets because almost all foreign trade has always been settled in US dollars.

As countries see the US meddling, they’re deciding they don’t want to be pushed around by the US federal government. As such, they are negotiating trade deals with each other, to accept each other’s currency, thus by-passing the US, and making it impossible for the US government to meddle with them.

As more and more countries do this, all those hundreds-of-billions of Dollars they all hold in the central banks, will come flooding back to the US and our inflation will break our country.

Our federal government is directly to blame for this.

When YOU cannot feed YOUR family because the money is so worthless, remember, it was YOUR member of the US Congress who did this. It was YOUR US Senators who did this.

As you watch your children suffering pains from hunger, hold those sniveling, lowly, government public servants accountable.

Ukraine President Posts Petition for U.S. Nukes on Ukraine Soil; Russia Suggests They Would make Pre-Emptive Nuclear Strike

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A potential Russian “petition” on a preventive nuclear strike could come in response to any initiative to transfer US nuclear weapons to Ukraine, Russian Security Council Deputy Chairman Dmitry Medvedev opined on his Telegram channel on Thursday.

A petition calling for the deployment of US nuclear weapons on Ukrainian soil was posted on Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky’s website on Thursday.

Commenting on the petition on Zelensky’s website, Medvedev blogged that the response could, in all probability, take the form of “a Russian petition in favor of the immediate pre-emptive use of Russian nuclear weapons.”

Jan 6 “Q-Anon Shaman” Jacob Chansley, Released from Prison Early

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q anon Shamon large
q anon Shamon large

Jacob Chansley, the man known as the “QAnon Shaman” has been transferred to an Arizona halfway house.

Chansley was moved from federal prison to the Phoenix area with a projected release date of May 25. Chansley had pleaded guilty to obstructing the Electoral College proceedings and was sentenced to 41 months in prison back in November.

“Recent changes have been made regarding First Step Act assessments such that the 28-day assessment will count as the first, and that an inmate will be able to earn 15 days after two assessments rather than three,” a Federal Bureau of Prisons spokesperson told the outlet. “These additional time credits were calculated during the last scheduled application rollout in March 2023. therefore, these changes will allow inmates to earn the extra 5 days of time credit for every 30-day period.”

The release comes after video showwing Chansley being escorted by police around the US Capital, was publicly shown, proving he did no violence or property damage, and that the government’s claims were lies.  This video had been in the possession of the Democrat’s January 6 Committee, and they kept it hidden to perpetuate the outright lies they were peddling about January 6 being an “insurrection.”

Little White Fleet?

Red sails in the Sunrise

In Ukraine, Russia enjoys armaments escalation dominance, thanks to its massive weapons industry, which dwarfs America’s and produces 50,000 shells and missiles every day. Ukraine gets 5,000 from the all the armories of the West – and no likelihood of more.

Outside Divine intervention, the contest can end only one way. Russia’s capacity to escalate its existing manufacturing dominance means it can do more of anything Ukraine can do.

That’s why military professionals spend so much time on economics and logistics. They’re taught that fleets win battles and economies win wars. But since fleets fight battles, we must look more closely at how things are shaping up in the Pacific.

Fleet escalation dominance

The PLAN enjoys fleet escalation dominance over the US Navy in the West Pacific.

China’s 340 warships are newer and better armed than America’s 290. And, thanks to launching five Burke-class destroyers simultaneously this year, the PLAN will have 400 boats in 2025, while the USN hopes for 300 by 2030.

Says US Naval War College Professor – and former Navy Captain – Sam Tangredi, “In naval warfare, the bigger fleet almost always wins. In 28 naval wars, from the Greco-Persian Wars of 500 BC, through Cold War interventions, we found just three where superior technology defeated bigger numbers”.

Armaments escalation dominance

China has turned its research lead in chemistry and math into powerful, innovative weapons. Beijing contends with Moscow for the lead in hypersonic missiles while the US has yet to test one.

Even conventional Chinese missiles outrange their American counterparts by 50%-100%, and in some cases, the US has no counterpart to their innovative, specialized weapons.

Quality

China’s naval technology is superior to America’s simply because it’s a generation younger. PLAN boats have much lower mileage, and are more powerfully armed than ours.

We’re Number Three!

If the foregoing is accurate, we’re Number Two in the West Pacific.

Russia’s victory in Ukraine, over the USA, NATO and the EU, will drop us another notch. Do voters want to spend $1 trillion a year to boast, “We’re Number Three!”?

Politically and economically, navally and terrestrially, can the US even afford industrial warfare?

2023 03 31 16 30
2023 03 31 16 30

And if we to go to war, we know who has morale escalation..

China’s President Announces “Preparing for War”

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Xi Parliamnet large
Xi Parliamnet large

Chinese leader Xi Jinping says he is preparing for war. At the annual meeting of China’s parliament and its top political advisory body this month, Xi wove the theme of war readiness through four separate speeches, in one instance telling his generals to “dare to fight.”

His government also announced a 7.2 percent increase in China’s defense budget, which has doubled over the last decade, as well as plans to make the country less dependent on foreign grain imports. In recent months, Beijing has unveiled new military readiness laws, new air-raid shelters in cities across the strait from Taiwan, and new “National Defense Mobilization” offices countrywide.

It is too early to say for certain what these developments mean. Conflict is not certain or imminent. Yet something has changed in Beijing that policymakers and business leaders worldwide cannot afford to ignore. If Xi says he is readying for war, it would be foolish not to take him at his word.

RUSSIA TO HELP CHINA MAKE MORE NUCLEAR BOMBS

Russia plans to provide fast breeder nuclear reactor technology to China, an agreement that could allow Beijing to significantly grow its nuclear arsenal and tip the prevailing global balance of nuclear weapons.

Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese Premier Xi Jinping announced a long-term agreement to continue developing fast breeder nuclear reactors optimized for plutonium production for nuclear weapons.  

In December 2022, Russia’s-state owned Rosatom nuclear power company finished transferring 25 tons of highly-enriched uranium to China’s CFR-600 nuclear reactor, which analysts say has the capacity to produce 50 nuclear warheads a year.

US Department of Defense (DOD) officials and US military planners have assessed that the CFR-600 will be critical in building China’s nuclear arsenal from 400 warheads today to 1,500 by 2035.

The U.S. Air Force secretary says he’s seen nothing ‘more disturbing’ in 50-year career than this move by China.

Air Force Secretary Frank Kendall compares China’s nuclear threat to Russia’s during Cold War.

A Visit To The World’s Only Black-Cat Cafe

There are well over a hundred cat cafes all over Japan, but there’s only one devoted exclusively to black cats – a cafe called Nekobiyaka in the castle town of Himeji.

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Yes, it’s the world’s first and only black-cat cafe, located near Himeji’s central station and along the route to the town’s famous landmark castle. While there were only six cats present when we visited (the website lists a dozen), they were an extremely lively bunch – running around, jumping in the air, and playing a vigorous game of fetch with a cloth-covered toy. We’re not sure, but we suspect that catnip may have been involved.

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Since it’s hard to tell the cats here apart, they all wear different-colored bandanas around their necks, and their names incorporate their identifying color. The staff will lend you a little book with photos of all the cats, listing their names and birthdays.

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The cafe is attractively furnished in residential living-room style, with windows looking out onto one of Himeji’s shopping streets. Background music is an odd mix of easy-listening and music-box arrangements of pop songs. Cat treats are not available, however.

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The cats here are unusual in that they like playing fetch with a cloth-covered cat toy, and two of the cats were in hot competition to catch the toy in mid-air and then bring it back. By the way, although the cats all look very similar, they wear different colored bandanas around their necks so that cafe visitors can tell them apart.

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When you’re not playing with the cats you can drink your coffee (or a beer), being careful that it doesn’t get knocked over, and browse through the cafe’s collection of manga and magazines, many of them cat-related. All in all it’s a very relaxing way to spend an hour of your afternoon.

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Russia Has HALTED all Nuclear Notifications to USA; Including Test Launches

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RUSSIAN DEPUTY FOREIGN MINISTER: RUSSIA HAS STOPPED ALL NUCLEAR-RELATED NOTIFICATIONS TO UNITED STATES, INCLUDING WARNINGS ABOUT TEST LAUNCHES.

Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov told Russian news agencies that Moscow has halted all information exchanges with Washington envisioned by the last remaining nuclear arms pact with the U.S. after suspending its participation in it last month.

Along with the data about the current state of the countries’ nuclear forces routinely released every six months in compliance with the treaty, the parties also have exchanged advance warnings about test launches. Such notices have been an essential element of strategic stability for decades, allowing Russia and the United States to correctly interpret each other’s moves and make sure that neither country mistakes a test launch for a missile attack.

If Russia terminates missile test warnings, it would mark yet another attempt by the Kremlin to discourage the West from ramping up its support for Ukraine by pointing to Russia’s massive nuclear arsenal. In recent days, President Vladimir Putin announced the deployment of tactical nuclear weapons to the territory of Moscow’s ally Belarus.

Last month, Putin suspended the New START treaty, saying Russia can’t accept U.S. inspections of its nuclear sites under the agreement at a time when Washington and its NATO allies have openly declared Moscow’s defeat in Ukraine as their goal. Moscow emphasized that it wasn’t withdrawing from the pact altogether and would continue to respect the caps on nuclear weapons the treaty set.

The Foreign Ministry initially said Moscow would keep notifying the U.S. about planned test launches of its ballistic missiles, but Ryabkov’s statement appeared to signal an abrupt change of course.

 Hal Turner Analysis and Opinion

For literally years, both the US and Russia have notified each other about all aspects of their nuclear aresenals; movement of warheads/missiles, test launches and track of test launches, etc.   That has now stopped.

Now, when Russia Tests a missile, the US has no way of knowing if it is a test – or real.

This is now the time when mistakes get made.

A misinterpretation.   A misreading of direction of travel.  A misreading of intent.

I have warned for months that when the nuclear war commences, it will happen like a lighting bolt out of the blue.  I have warned that we may get little or NO NOTICE.

Now you know my warnings were right.

This situation between the US/NATO/Ukraine and Russia, is growing more dangerous by the hour.

We are in grave danger.

I think the reason you feel this way is because the price of everything in your country is way too high.

Pizza Pork Chops

2023 03 31 21 38
2023 03 31 21 38

Ingredients

  • 6 (1-inch thick) pork loin chops
  • 1/2 teaspoon salt
  • 1/4 teaspoon pepper
  • 1 tablespoon vegetable oil
  • 1 medium onion, chopped
  • 2 cups tomato pasta sauce
  • 4 cups cooked orzo
  • 1 cup (4 ounces) shredded mozzarella cheese

Instructions

  1. Remove excess fat from pork. Sprinkle pork with salt and pepper.
  2. In 12-inch skillet, heat oil over medium-high heat.
  3. Add pork; cook about 5 minutes, turning once, until brown.
  4. Place pork in 3 1/2- to 4-quart slow cooker.
  5. Sprinkle onion over pork.
  6. Add pasta sauce.
  7. Cover; cook on LOW for 4 to 6 hours.
  8. Place orzo on platter. Top with pork and sauce. Sprinkle with cheese.

Yield: 6 servings

URGENT: 300 RUSSIAN MOBILE NUCLEAR MISSILES ON THE MOVE

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YARS NukeMissileAndLauncher large
YARS NukeMissileAndLauncher large

Russia’s Strategic Missile Forces began WHAT THEY SAY are planned exercises involving the Yars mobile nuclear intercontinental ballistic missile systems, Russia’s defense ministry said minutes ago (11:06 PM EDT on Tuesday, 28 March 2023)

“In total, more than 3,000 military personnel and about 300 pieces of equipment are involved in the exercises,” the defense ministry said in a statement on the Telegram messaging app.

Each YARS missile carries of nuclear warhead with a yield of 800 kilotons.

Remember that the bomb at Hiroshima was 15 kilotons, and has been considered to be less than 5% efficient. - MM
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Godfree Roberts

” Beyond the language barrier, I am referring here to both the censorship and self-censorship that hinder public political discussions in China. ”

Are you familiar with Chinese constitutional rights and responsibilities regarding public speech?

If so, could you provide an example of censorship and self-censorship hindering a public political discussion in China?

Not an allegation. A documented, unconstitutional governmental action that hindered political discussion.